← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.47+3.50vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.29+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.13+0.50vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.19vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.51-2.04vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin1.94-0.57vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.41-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.5Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
-
3.21Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
3.5Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
-
3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
-
2.96Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
-
5.43University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
-
4.58Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Baxter | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| Emily Billing | 19.8% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 16.6% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 14.9% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 24.8% | 21.9% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 41.8% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 23.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.