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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+4.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+2.10vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.47vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+5.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.45+2.26vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+0.49vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-0.38vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.88vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+1.68vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-2.01vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-0.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.83vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-3.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.67vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-1.19vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-1.68vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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4.1Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.47Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.06Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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13.81Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.32Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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13.01Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 19.7% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 29.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 34.6% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.