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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+7.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+3.34vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+3.66vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.78vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-2.65vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-1.51vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-3.70vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-0.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.48-7.81vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-1.66vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.51-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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9.84Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.41Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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13.1Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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14.34Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 19.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 35.2% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.