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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+4.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.52+6.20vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+1.71vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+3.75vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+1.84vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.82+1.32vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.96-3.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+1.54vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-5.46vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.64+1.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.54vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-2.77vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.68-2.51vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.31-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83College of Charleston1.8110.8%1st Place
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4.17Yale University2.5517.2%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University2.1011.7%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Naval Academy0.522.5%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College1.848.2%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University0.713.2%1st Place
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8.84George Washington University1.073.6%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University0.824.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University1.9610.4%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island0.122.0%1st Place
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5.54Brown University1.9911.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Michigan-0.640.7%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University0.933.8%1st Place
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6.46University of Pennsylvania1.728.2%1st Place
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12.23Florida State University0.051.0%1st Place
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13.49Washington College-0.681.2%1st Place
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15.24Boston University-1.310.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.2% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 6.2% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 16.3% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.