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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+4.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.52+7.23vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+2.73vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.82+4.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99-0.59vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.96-1.28vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.55-3.85vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.72-2.37vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+1.73vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71-1.16vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-3.21vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.07-4.45vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.64-0.27vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-2.96vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.31-0.79vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.68-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84College of Charleston1.8110.3%1st Place
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5.38Harvard University2.1011.6%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy0.522.8%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College1.848.1%1st Place
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9.47Jacksonville University0.823.0%1st Place
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5.41Brown University1.9910.4%1st Place
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5.72Cornell University1.9611.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University2.5518.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Pennsylvania1.728.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island0.121.5%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University0.713.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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8.55George Washington University1.074.6%1st Place
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13.73University of Michigan-0.640.9%1st Place
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12.04Florida State University0.051.2%1st Place
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15.21Boston University-1.310.2%1st Place
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13.56Washington College-0.680.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 19.4% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 5.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 49.1% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.