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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+5.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.51vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.71+6.87vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+1.80vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.96+0.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.52+4.25vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+1.78vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.55-3.82vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.82+0.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-1.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-5.49vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.64+1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-1.30vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.72-7.25vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.05-2.87vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.68-2.50vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.31-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Bowdoin College1.847.7%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.1011.2%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University0.712.5%1st Place
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5.8College of Charleston1.8111.7%1st Place
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5.63Cornell University1.9610.9%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Naval Academy0.522.5%1st Place
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8.78George Washington University1.073.5%1st Place
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4.18Yale University2.5517.6%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University0.823.8%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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5.51Brown University1.9910.7%1st Place
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13.56University of Michigan-0.641.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Rhode Island0.121.6%1st Place
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6.75University of Pennsylvania1.728.3%1st Place
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12.13Florida State University0.051.5%1st Place
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13.5Washington College-0.680.9%1st Place
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15.09Boston University-1.310.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 6.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 16.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.