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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.43+3.08vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+3.13vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+1.43vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+3.34vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+2.87vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45-0.85vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-4.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-4.82vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.58-2.47vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-0.94vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-0.82vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-6.54vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.51-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.36Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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13.06Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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14.18Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.9Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Haeger | 20.4% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 17.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 34.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 20.1% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.