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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+2.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+3.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+2.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.72+0.98vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+2.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+1.15vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.96-2.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.52+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+1.09vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.82-2.28vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.64+1.22vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.76-3.17vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.05-2.42vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.31-0.15vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.99-1.88vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.68-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Yale University2.5519.1%1st Place
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5.53College of Charleston1.8111.3%1st Place
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5.04Harvard University2.1012.2%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.9911.7%1st Place
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5.98University of Pennsylvania1.728.0%1st Place
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8.1George Washington University1.074.5%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University0.934.7%1st Place
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5.22Cornell University1.9612.4%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy0.523.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Rhode Island0.121.5%1st Place
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8.72Jacksonville University0.824.4%1st Place
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13.22University of Michigan-0.640.8%1st Place
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9.83Bowdoin College0.763.1%1st Place
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11.58Florida State University0.051.2%1st Place
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14.85Boston University-1.310.3%1st Place
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14.12Fordham University-0.990.5%1st Place
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13.08Washington College-0.681.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 19.1% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 14.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 39.8% |
| Samantha Hemans | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 24.8% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.