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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+4.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.52+7.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+5.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+1.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-1.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.76+3.80vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-1.85vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.82+0.91vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-3.54vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.72-4.98vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.64+1.25vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.05-1.57vs Predicted
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14Boston University-1.31+0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-3.94vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.99-2.09vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.68-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Cornell University1.9611.6%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy0.522.9%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University0.934.9%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University2.1012.3%1st Place
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3.89Yale University2.5520.1%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College0.762.6%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.9911.8%1st Place
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8.91Jacksonville University0.823.1%1st Place
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5.46College of Charleston1.8110.7%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University1.074.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Pennsylvania1.729.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Michigan-0.641.1%1st Place
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11.43Florida State University0.051.6%1st Place
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14.86Boston University-1.310.2%1st Place
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11.06University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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13.91Fordham University-0.990.5%1st Place
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12.82Washington College-0.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.1% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 15.1% |
| Niah Ford | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 41.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Samantha Hemans | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 22.2% | 22.4% |
| Hartley Meyer | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.