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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.09vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+8.41vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+3.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+0.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+0.29vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-1.77vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-1.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-1.78vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-3.47vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51-0.08vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.10vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.92-6.72vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.22Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.23Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.83Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.92Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.9Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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14.28Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 17.9% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 30.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 19.8% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.