← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College0.76+8.82vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.81+3.32vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.82+5.80vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.55-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.93+3.09vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.96-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.10-2.02vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.07+0.16vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.72-3.03vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan-0.64+3.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.12+0.03vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.69-5.99vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy0.52-3.42vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University-0.99+0.14vs Predicted
-
15Florida State University0.05-3.65vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-1.31-1.25vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-0.68-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.82Bowdoin College0.762.5%1st Place
-
5.32College of Charleston1.8111.6%1st Place
-
8.8Jacksonville University0.823.6%1st Place
-
3.77Yale University2.5521.2%1st Place
-
8.09Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
-
5.17Cornell University1.9612.0%1st Place
-
4.98Harvard University2.1013.4%1st Place
-
8.16George Washington University1.074.0%1st Place
-
5.97University of Pennsylvania1.729.6%1st Place
-
13.08University of Michigan-0.641.2%1st Place
-
11.03University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
-
6.01Brown University1.699.3%1st Place
-
9.58U. S. Naval Academy0.522.5%1st Place
-
14.14Fordham University-0.990.7%1st Place
-
11.35Florida State University0.051.2%1st Place
-
14.75Boston University-1.310.5%1st Place
-
12.98Washington College-0.680.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Reimer | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 21.2% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Hemans | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 22.1% | 25.8% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 40.4% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.