Race 1A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 22.1% 20.9% 16.1% 13.2% 10.8% 7.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 12.5% 12.0% 13.6% 13.3% 12.5% 11.4% 11.1% 6.7% 4.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Asher Green 6.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.8% 11.1% 12.2% 12.5% 13.8% 10.7% 6.2% 3.6% 1.1%
Noah Kuzloski 7.7% 7.4% 8.2% 10.8% 12.3% 11.5% 12.2% 11.9% 9.4% 5.5% 2.7% 0.4%
Jacob Zils 18.0% 17.0% 18.4% 14.9% 10.2% 9.0% 5.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 15.6% 14.7% 14.1% 14.9% 12.5% 10.8% 8.6% 4.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Matthew Collinson 1.9% 3.0% 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 5.4% 6.9% 8.7% 11.3% 19.0% 20.2% 13.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.5% 7.3% 7.6% 8.5% 9.8% 11.0% 11.8% 13.2% 11.3% 8.2% 4.0% 0.9%
Kenneth Buck 2.9% 4.2% 3.6% 4.2% 5.9% 7.2% 8.9% 11.2% 15.0% 16.7% 13.4% 6.9%
Thomas Gallant 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 3.4% 3.8% 8.1% 11.8% 19.8% 43.6%
Zach Earnshaw 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 4.0% 7.1% 9.1% 15.0% 24.2% 29.2%
Richard Kalich 4.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.6% 9.3% 10.0% 12.0% 14.9% 13.9% 10.7% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.