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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+8.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+2.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+3.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+4.00vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+4.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.92-1.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.88vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-2.43vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83+2.93vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-2.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.67vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-7.41vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.18-6.71vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.51-2.00vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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4.12Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.33Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.65Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.57Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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12.93Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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14.0Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.36Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 15.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 21.6% | 28.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.