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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+5.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+2.10vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+6.19vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+1.50vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.37vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.83+4.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.92-5.14vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-2.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-2.96vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-3.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.83vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.51-2.07vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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4.1Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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6.44Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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13.14Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.04Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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13.93Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.32Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 19.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| Haley Powell | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 21.0% | 27.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.