Race 2A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Woodworth 11.8% 11.9% 13.3% 12.8% 12.6% 12.9% 9.4% 7.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 3.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.0% 7.2% 8.1% 9.9% 13.1% 15.2% 14.4% 10.9% 4.2%
Sophia Devling 14.8% 16.7% 14.1% 14.0% 11.8% 10.9% 8.6% 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 23.2% 19.9% 18.6% 12.0% 10.1% 8.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Collinson 2.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 5.5% 7.0% 9.8% 11.3% 16.4% 22.0% 13.9%
Asher Green 7.6% 7.3% 7.2% 8.2% 10.8% 10.1% 10.8% 13.6% 12.1% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0%
Jacob Zils 17.3% 17.3% 15.4% 15.4% 12.4% 10.2% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 7.1% 8.4% 9.3% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4% 13.1% 11.2% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Kenneth Buck 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 9.9% 12.2% 14.3% 15.4% 12.1% 6.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.2% 6.5% 7.2% 9.3% 10.2% 10.5% 13.1% 12.0% 10.8% 9.2% 4.0% 0.9%
Zach Earnshaw 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 6.5% 9.6% 15.0% 23.5% 27.8%
Thomas Gallant 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 1.5% 3.6% 3.6% 6.3% 12.4% 20.5% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.