Race 3A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Zils 20.6% 17.9% 16.9% 13.8% 11.6% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 7.0% 6.7% 8.9% 9.0% 11.7% 12.4% 12.6% 12.8% 9.8% 6.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.3% 6.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.3% 12.7% 13.5% 10.8% 9.7% 6.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Sophia Devling 15.6% 16.2% 15.8% 15.9% 13.3% 9.2% 6.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 24.1% 22.6% 16.4% 14.4% 10.0% 6.3% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 3.6% 4.2% 3.9% 6.0% 7.7% 9.8% 11.2% 13.4% 12.8% 12.8% 10.5% 4.1%
Zach Earnshaw 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 5.5% 8.2% 10.7% 13.0% 21.5% 25.8%
Matthew Collinson 2.1% 2.3% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 6.3% 7.2% 10.0% 13.2% 17.8% 17.6% 11.6%
Jeremy Lunati 2.4% 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 5.9% 8.6% 10.2% 11.5% 14.8% 15.4% 12.6% 7.5%
Cole Woodworth 13.1% 13.8% 13.5% 13.3% 13.6% 11.1% 10.1% 6.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 2.8% 3.4% 5.1% 5.5% 5.9% 8.0% 10.5% 13.0% 13.7% 14.4% 12.2% 5.7%
Thomas Gallant 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 4.1% 4.5% 7.6% 11.2% 18.4% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.