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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+7.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+2.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+3.27vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.15vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.60vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+0.33vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.50vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.46vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.51+3.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.35vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+0.99vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.43-8.72vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-7.58vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.93-5.74vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-5.39vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.6Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.33Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.87Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.99Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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4.28Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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14.34Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katii Gullick | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 26.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 20.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 18.9% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 20.5% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.