← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.47+3.52vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.51+0.89vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.29+0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.94+1.46vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.13-1.46vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-2.24vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.41-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.52Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
-
2.89Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
-
3.25Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
5.46University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
-
3.54Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
-
3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.2%1st Place
-
4.56Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Baxter | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.4% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Emily Billing | 20.3% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 41.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 15.4% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 15.8% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 7.9% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.