Race 4A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sophia Devling 15.8% 14.3% 17.9% 16.1% 12.3% 10.7% 5.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Rayne Duff 23.2% 20.3% 17.2% 14.6% 11.2% 6.3% 4.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 13.6% 13.5% 14.0% 13.7% 13.3% 11.6% 9.2% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Asher Green 6.3% 8.2% 8.6% 8.6% 11.0% 12.2% 14.4% 11.9% 9.6% 5.3% 3.0% 0.9%
Jacob Zils 19.3% 19.9% 16.4% 14.9% 11.8% 8.3% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 4.0% 3.5% 4.1% 4.5% 6.5% 8.9% 10.7% 13.6% 13.7% 13.8% 10.8% 6.1%
Jeremy Lunati 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 5.6% 7.1% 9.7% 11.1% 14.8% 15.1% 13.7% 8.2%
Zach Earnshaw 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 3.5% 3.5% 5.6% 7.5% 10.9% 15.7% 22.3% 24.4%
Richard Kalich 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 9.5% 11.3% 13.7% 13.7% 13.9% 9.3% 4.8%
Matthew Collinson 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 3.7% 5.0% 6.2% 7.6% 8.4% 14.2% 15.8% 17.5% 13.0%
Thomas Gallant 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 6.0% 7.3% 11.6% 19.1% 41.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 9.2% 11.7% 13.0% 12.9% 12.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.5% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.