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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+7.98vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+6.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.17vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+1.38vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-0.60vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-1.53vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74+1.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.20vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-0.36vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.92-2.75vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.45-5.51vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-0.88vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-9.20vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.51-2.05vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.35-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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4.12Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.4Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.08Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.64Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.95Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.32Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katii Gullick | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 19.3% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 18.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 28.8% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.