Race 5A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 23.2% 20.1% 15.7% 14.8% 11.5% 7.3% 4.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 14.1% 15.2% 16.6% 14.4% 11.8% 9.5% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 9.6% 9.0% 11.3% 13.1% 12.2% 11.8% 7.8% 3.6% 0.4%
Jacob Zils 20.0% 17.2% 15.5% 14.1% 12.5% 9.3% 5.5% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 12.6% 13.1% 13.7% 12.6% 12.4% 11.9% 10.1% 7.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 3.2% 3.6% 4.3% 5.7% 6.0% 7.3% 8.2% 12.4% 13.7% 16.7% 13.2% 5.6%
Noah Kuzloski 7.1% 8.6% 9.2% 9.9% 10.8% 12.4% 12.3% 11.9% 9.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Richard Kalich 3.6% 3.5% 5.3% 5.0% 5.9% 8.7% 10.9% 12.6% 13.6% 15.4% 10.9% 4.5%
Zach Earnshaw 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 3.4% 3.8% 6.5% 10.9% 15.8% 23.2% 28.1%
Matthew Collinson 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% 2.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 9.5% 13.7% 18.4% 21.1% 13.5%
Asher Green 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 11.2% 11.8% 13.4% 10.8% 11.2% 7.0% 4.3% 0.9%
Thomas Gallant 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 4.8% 7.0% 10.2% 20.3% 46.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.