Race 6A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 22.6% 19.6% 17.5% 13.8% 10.4% 8.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Zils 20.2% 17.5% 15.9% 14.4% 12.2% 8.5% 5.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 5.1% 6.7% 7.0% 7.6% 10.0% 11.9% 13.7% 12.9% 12.0% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9%
Cole Woodworth 13.1% 12.3% 13.6% 13.5% 12.5% 10.7% 9.7% 7.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Richard Kalich 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 5.5% 5.9% 8.6% 10.1% 12.2% 13.9% 15.6% 11.9% 4.7%
Sophia Devling 15.3% 15.0% 13.6% 14.6% 13.7% 10.3% 8.7% 4.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 7.1% 8.5% 8.6% 10.6% 10.9% 12.4% 11.8% 11.2% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7%
Kenneth Buck 3.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.4% 5.9% 7.1% 10.1% 12.6% 14.2% 14.8% 13.1% 5.5%
Zach Earnshaw 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 6.9% 9.7% 14.2% 25.4% 26.7%
Asher Green 6.2% 7.1% 8.8% 8.5% 10.8% 11.2% 11.8% 12.8% 10.6% 7.6% 3.6% 0.9%
Matthew Collinson 1.8% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 5.2% 6.9% 9.8% 12.5% 18.6% 19.1% 13.8%
Thomas Gallant 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 3.0% 4.3% 7.1% 11.5% 19.6% 46.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.