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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.14vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+4.63vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.71+6.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+4.62vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.24+1.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21+3.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02-0.24vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+0.92vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.06vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97+2.32vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.10-8.61vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-5.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-6.99vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-3.88vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.63Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.62Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.03Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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14.32Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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4.39Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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15.77Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Erica Lush | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 30.1% | 26.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.6% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 19.3% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.