Race 7A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sophia Devling 16.4% 17.0% 14.4% 14.3% 12.8% 10.9% 7.1% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Zils 20.0% 18.5% 17.4% 15.5% 10.9% 8.6% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Asher Green 7.2% 6.7% 7.6% 11.1% 11.6% 12.4% 13.2% 10.8% 9.0% 6.6% 3.2% 0.8%
Rayne Duff 23.2% 21.3% 19.2% 14.3% 8.7% 7.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 14.1% 14.3% 13.5% 12.4% 13.8% 11.9% 9.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.5% 6.8% 7.8% 9.6% 11.2% 12.3% 13.1% 11.8% 10.2% 6.5% 3.5% 0.9%
Jeremy Lunati 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 5.4% 5.8% 7.2% 9.4% 11.6% 14.1% 17.2% 13.2% 6.5%
Kenneth Buck 3.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 10.2% 14.2% 16.4% 11.9% 11.2% 4.8%
Richard Kalich 3.3% 3.6% 5.5% 4.9% 8.0% 9.8% 12.0% 14.1% 12.9% 13.2% 8.5% 4.4%
Zach Earnshaw 0.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 5.6% 7.6% 10.8% 14.2% 22.1% 25.0%
Matthew Collinson 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 3.6% 5.2% 5.9% 8.4% 9.7% 12.9% 16.4% 18.8% 13.0%
Thomas Gallant 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 5.0% 6.7% 12.2% 18.9% 44.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.