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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+13.03vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.21+8.73vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.27vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+3.46vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81+2.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.80vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+0.91vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.33-2.11vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-5.72vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.83+1.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.92vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.24-5.76vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.20+1.75vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.83-9.89vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.51-6.18vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.02-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.03Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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10.73Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.27Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.46Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.89Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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4.28Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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12.12Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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15.75Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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5.11Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Clawson | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 28.3% | 25.1% |
| Erica Lush | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 18.3% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 5.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 16.8% | 62.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.1% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.