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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.65vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+9.19vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.24+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02-0.23vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-0.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.71-1.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-2.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.20vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-3.09vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.20+1.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.98-6.96vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-5.12vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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5.0Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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14.19Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.94Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.73Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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15.71Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.88Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.09Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 18.9% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 32.2% | 22.6% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sky Adams | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 15.9% | 62.8% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.