Race 8A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Woodworth 12.7% 12.3% 13.0% 14.3% 12.8% 13.6% 9.0% 6.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Rayne Duff 24.6% 19.6% 19.2% 14.1% 10.3% 6.0% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 14.5% 17.0% 16.0% 14.0% 13.4% 10.8% 6.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Jacob Zils 20.8% 19.4% 16.0% 14.9% 11.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.7% 7.4% 8.6% 10.1% 9.8% 12.3% 12.0% 11.6% 11.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Asher Green 6.6% 7.4% 8.5% 9.8% 11.6% 12.2% 13.5% 12.0% 8.8% 5.5% 3.4% 0.7%
Jeremy Lunati 2.2% 3.8% 2.9% 4.2% 6.8% 7.3% 9.9% 12.4% 14.1% 14.2% 14.2% 8.0%
Matthew Collinson 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 3.5% 5.2% 6.2% 7.9% 10.6% 12.7% 17.9% 17.8% 11.5%
Thomas Gallant 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 1.5% 2.8% 3.7% 5.5% 6.7% 11.1% 19.1% 44.5%
Zach Earnshaw 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 10.4% 14.8% 22.3% 25.3%
Richard Kalich 3.8% 4.3% 5.2% 4.5% 8.0% 7.7% 11.8% 13.8% 13.2% 13.8% 9.8% 4.2%
Kenneth Buck 4.5% 3.5% 5.2% 5.7% 5.9% 8.6% 11.2% 11.8% 14.7% 14.4% 9.6% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.