Race 9A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 22.8% 19.9% 17.2% 13.1% 10.7% 7.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 16.2% 14.8% 14.1% 15.7% 11.6% 10.0% 8.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.3% 6.5% 8.5% 8.5% 9.8% 11.5% 11.7% 12.2% 12.2% 7.4% 4.8% 0.9%
Noah Kuzloski 7.3% 8.0% 8.4% 9.8% 11.7% 13.1% 11.7% 12.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Jacob Zils 18.6% 17.2% 16.4% 14.4% 12.5% 8.2% 6.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 10.6% 13.2% 13.2% 13.7% 12.2% 11.6% 10.0% 7.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 3.3% 3.8% 4.3% 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 9.4% 11.9% 14.1% 16.2% 13.7% 6.6%
Asher Green 6.8% 7.7% 7.3% 7.8% 10.8% 11.9% 12.4% 13.5% 10.0% 7.8% 2.9% 1.1%
Matthew Collinson 2.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 7.8% 9.4% 11.6% 18.9% 19.2% 13.2%
Thomas Gallant 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 4.9% 6.9% 11.4% 19.6% 45.6%
Richard Kalich 3.5% 4.3% 4.9% 5.7% 7.1% 8.0% 10.7% 12.3% 14.9% 14.0% 10.6% 4.1%
Zach Earnshaw 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 4.0% 3.8% 5.8% 9.7% 13.7% 26.2% 28.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.