Race 10A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Zils 19.7% 19.1% 15.7% 13.9% 11.1% 8.6% 6.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Cole Woodworth 11.2% 11.1% 14.2% 13.6% 13.9% 13.0% 8.5% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Sophia Devling 15.2% 15.3% 16.0% 12.6% 13.0% 10.4% 8.3% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Asher Green 6.3% 7.4% 6.7% 9.4% 10.2% 11.6% 12.5% 12.7% 11.7% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 5.5% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 9.6% 10.8% 11.2% 12.8% 12.2% 8.4% 3.9% 1.0%
Rayne Duff 24.9% 19.8% 16.2% 13.7% 9.7% 7.8% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 7.5% 8.5% 9.7% 9.9% 11.5% 10.5% 11.9% 12.3% 8.7% 5.9% 2.9% 0.8%
Kenneth Buck 2.8% 3.6% 3.7% 4.8% 6.3% 7.2% 10.1% 12.4% 14.2% 16.2% 12.8% 5.9%
Zach Earnshaw 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 2.3% 2.5% 4.0% 4.9% 6.7% 8.6% 15.3% 25.1% 26.7%
Richard Kalich 2.6% 3.6% 4.0% 6.3% 6.6% 8.1% 10.9% 12.2% 14.4% 15.4% 11.1% 4.9%
Matthew Collinson 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 2.8% 4.2% 4.8% 7.4% 8.5% 14.2% 16.9% 21.1% 13.0%
Thomas Gallant 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 6.6% 10.4% 18.7% 47.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.