← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.73+2.14vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.98+1.50vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.79+0.96vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.58+0.44vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.84+0.89vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.80-0.08vs Predicted
-
7The Citadel0.19+0.57vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College-0.020.00vs Predicted
-
9Washington College-0.26-0.46vs Predicted
-
10University of South Carolina-1.11+0.14vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.25-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14Webb Institute1.7323.5%1st Place
-
3.5Fordham University1.9820.3%1st Place
-
3.96Cornell University1.7915.3%1st Place
-
4.44University of Pennsylvania1.5813.5%1st Place
-
5.89Princeton University0.846.0%1st Place
-
5.92University of Vermont0.806.4%1st Place
-
7.57The Citadel0.193.0%1st Place
-
8.0SUNY Maritime College-0.023.2%1st Place
-
8.54Washington College-0.262.6%1st Place
-
10.14University of South Carolina-1.111.2%1st Place
-
9.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.691.4%1st Place
-
7.35Boston University0.253.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rayne Duff | 23.5% | 21.4% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jacob Zils | 20.3% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sophia Devling | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Cole Woodworth | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Asher Green | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 7.7% |
Matthew Collinson | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 12.7% |
Thomas Gallant | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 41.9% |
Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 26.4% |
Richard Kalich | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.