← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 23.5% 21.4% 18.4% 14.4% 9.4% 6.2% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Zils 20.3% 18.8% 16.7% 13.8% 12.4% 8.1% 5.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Devling 15.3% 16.1% 15.8% 14.8% 13.2% 9.7% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Cole Woodworth 13.5% 13.3% 13.4% 13.2% 13.0% 11.6% 9.7% 6.5% 3.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Asher Green 6.0% 8.2% 8.1% 10.7% 11.1% 12.7% 12.6% 11.3% 9.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.4% 7.2% 8.3% 10.2% 11.9% 12.6% 12.3% 11.2% 9.0% 6.8% 3.2% 0.9%
Kenneth Buck 3.0% 3.6% 4.1% 6.1% 6.7% 8.8% 11.2% 12.8% 15.3% 12.4% 11.0% 5.0%
Jeremy Lunati 3.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.6% 9.8% 12.0% 14.4% 14.9% 13.9% 7.7%
Matthew Collinson 2.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.9% 4.6% 6.0% 6.8% 10.8% 13.5% 16.1% 17.8% 12.7%
Thomas Gallant 1.2% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 4.1% 5.7% 7.6% 11.9% 19.1% 41.9%
Zach Earnshaw 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 9.7% 15.4% 22.2% 26.4%
Richard Kalich 3.5% 4.5% 5.4% 4.9% 7.2% 10.2% 11.2% 12.8% 13.2% 13.1% 9.1% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.