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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.45vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+5.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+1.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+4.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+3.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.24+1.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-2.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21+1.78vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.33-3.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.28vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-4.24vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-3.35vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-1.94vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-0.82vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-6.54vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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4.89Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.17Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.95Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.42Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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14.18Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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15.71Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 5.5% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 30.0% | 25.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 18.2% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.