Race 12A

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cole Woodworth 11.6% 14.4% 13.2% 12.3% 13.5% 13.1% 9.8% 7.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 10.4% 13.4% 13.9% 13.9% 11.2% 4.5%
Rayne Duff 25.1% 20.4% 16.9% 14.1% 9.8% 7.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Jacob Zils 18.6% 19.7% 15.0% 15.6% 11.1% 10.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 7.2% 7.4% 9.4% 10.4% 11.3% 13.2% 12.7% 10.5% 8.6% 6.0% 2.2% 0.9%
Matthew Collinson 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 6.9% 6.7% 10.5% 14.0% 15.8% 18.2% 11.9%
Zach Earnshaw 1.1% 1.5% 2.9% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.5% 6.9% 10.0% 14.2% 23.2% 25.8%
Sophia Devling 16.4% 14.5% 16.2% 14.6% 13.7% 9.7% 7.5% 4.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy Lunati 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 5.7% 5.9% 8.9% 12.3% 14.6% 16.7% 12.6% 7.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.7% 7.0% 8.6% 8.6% 10.4% 12.7% 13.2% 12.3% 10.0% 6.3% 3.4% 0.7%
Richard Kalich 3.8% 4.0% 5.3% 5.7% 8.1% 6.6% 12.8% 12.3% 14.8% 13.1% 9.5% 4.1%
Thomas Gallant 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 5.5% 7.3% 11.6% 19.0% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.