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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+7.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+6.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+2.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+1.95vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21+3.64vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33-1.57vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.24-3.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.48vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-0.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-3.29vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-4.42vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-0.83vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.20-0.28vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.83-12.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.64Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.43Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.17Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.72Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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5.0Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Erica Lush | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 5.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 29.2% | 25.9% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 16.9% | 61.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.