Race 1B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 18.6% 15.3% 15.6% 14.6% 12.6% 9.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
John Majernik 15.8% 15.4% 15.7% 13.7% 12.5% 10.1% 8.1% 4.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 18.3% 18.2% 15.0% 14.3% 10.8% 10.7% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 18.1% 16.4% 17.5% 13.4% 12.4% 9.3% 6.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Thomas Roeber 3.9% 4.0% 4.7% 5.8% 8.8% 8.5% 10.3% 14.2% 15.7% 13.7% 8.6% 1.8%
Jasper Waldman 6.2% 6.7% 6.2% 8.3% 8.7% 10.8% 14.9% 12.7% 11.8% 9.2% 3.8% 0.7%
Gavin Sanborn 8.3% 9.0% 8.6% 11.8% 10.4% 11.9% 11.5% 12.6% 8.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.2%
John Cabell 5.6% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 10.4% 11.6% 12.3% 11.5% 12.6% 8.4% 3.9% 0.8%
cole capizzo 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.6% 7.0% 9.0% 15.8% 29.8% 21.3%
Henry Parker 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 3.4% 5.5% 7.1% 8.8% 10.8% 15.5% 18.1% 17.0% 5.9%
Austin Latimer 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 9.0% 11.5% 13.9% 20.0% 17.6% 6.3%
Ryan Kanter 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 2.8% 4.1% 7.3% 16.3% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.