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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.47+3.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+0.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+0.24vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.94-0.55vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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2.91Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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3.24Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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3.54Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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5.45University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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4.57Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Baxter | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 24.8% | 22.9% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Emily Billing | 20.3% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 14.4% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 8.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 16.1% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 42.2% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.