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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+5.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+2.75vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.21+7.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+4.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.98+2.51vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48-0.14vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29-0.50vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.33-1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-2.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-3.91vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.01vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-3.81vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-2.46vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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4.75Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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10.07Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.21Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.12Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.81Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 5.5% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 14.0% | 32.9% | 26.2% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 17.5% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.