Race 2B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 16.9% 17.2% 14.3% 16.2% 12.2% 9.8% 5.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Ehnot 18.2% 17.0% 15.6% 14.1% 11.9% 10.4% 6.6% 3.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 10.2% 11.4% 10.5% 13.4% 12.2% 9.8% 5.1% 2.0% 0.4%
John Cabell 6.3% 6.0% 6.4% 7.4% 10.8% 10.7% 13.0% 13.5% 11.2% 9.6% 4.3% 0.8%
Lucas Thress 19.7% 17.3% 16.9% 13.7% 11.2% 9.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Majernik 15.1% 14.0% 17.8% 12.5% 13.0% 10.3% 8.8% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Thomas Roeber 3.8% 5.0% 4.8% 5.6% 8.3% 9.9% 11.5% 13.4% 13.7% 13.7% 8.2% 2.1%
Jasper Waldman 5.7% 7.1% 6.5% 9.0% 8.8% 11.3% 13.0% 12.8% 12.9% 8.3% 4.0% 0.8%
Henry Parker 2.7% 3.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.8% 6.7% 7.2% 11.1% 15.7% 19.4% 16.3% 5.5%
Austin Latimer 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 6.3% 7.8% 11.4% 16.0% 18.8% 17.2% 6.2%
cole capizzo 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 4.8% 6.7% 9.8% 15.3% 32.6% 17.8%
Ryan Kanter 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 3.9% 6.8% 14.5% 66.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.