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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+5.26vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.33+3.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+4.13vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+1.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-2.15vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.08vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-2.01vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-0.84vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-0.81vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-4.55vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-0.54vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.20-0.26vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.24-9.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.98-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.27Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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4.85Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.74Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 6.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 30.9% | 26.0% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 18.0% | 60.5% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.