Race 3B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 20.3% 18.4% 16.2% 14.5% 13.8% 9.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Cabell 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 9.2% 11.8% 13.9% 12.3% 11.7% 9.0% 5.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Gavin Sanborn 9.6% 10.3% 11.0% 11.7% 11.8% 13.3% 11.8% 8.7% 7.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Lucas Thress 22.5% 21.0% 19.0% 13.6% 10.2% 6.2% 4.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
John Majernik 18.5% 16.4% 16.7% 16.9% 12.5% 8.7% 4.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Parker 2.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 7.1% 10.0% 12.5% 13.0% 17.1% 14.9% 5.7%
Jasper Waldman 5.8% 7.3% 9.2% 9.5% 10.3% 12.8% 12.1% 11.9% 10.9% 6.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Thomas Roeber 4.1% 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 8.6% 9.9% 13.3% 13.6% 14.1% 11.2% 5.9% 1.4%
cole capizzo 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 8.1% 10.8% 14.6% 27.8% 18.6%
Austin Latimer 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.9% 5.5% 6.8% 9.7% 12.3% 14.4% 17.1% 14.4% 5.1%
Giovanni Perrotti 4.0% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.9% 6.5% 10.2% 10.8% 13.6% 16.5% 13.6% 5.5%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 3.5% 7.6% 15.7% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.