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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.28vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+3.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+4.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+0.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+0.29vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.81-2.02vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-3.58vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.33-5.70vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.21-2.93vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.98-6.55vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-3.78vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-2.46vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.73Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.57University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.17Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.3Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.83Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 17.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erica Lush | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 2.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 6.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 31.6% | 26.6% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 18.1% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.