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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.28+2.71vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.44+1.39vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.54+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.56+1.26vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.55+2.93vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.04+0.75vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.51+0.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+1.26vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.27-3.09vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.43-4.27vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.41-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-2.24-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71University of Pennsylvania1.2817.4%1st Place
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3.39Cornell University1.4420.5%1st Place
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3.16Fordham University1.5424.7%1st Place
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5.26University of Vermont0.568.8%1st Place
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7.93Washington College-0.553.4%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Maritime College-0.044.1%1st Place
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7.91Webb Institute-0.512.8%1st Place
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9.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.3%1st Place
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5.91Princeton University0.276.8%1st Place
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5.73Boston University0.437.5%1st Place
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7.99The Citadel-0.412.6%1st Place
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11.01University of South Carolina-2.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Majernik | 17.4% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 20.5% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 24.7% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 4.9% |
| Thomas Roeber | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Giovanni Perrotti | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
| cole capizzo | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 26.9% | 16.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| John Cabell | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry Parker | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.