Race 5B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 17.4% 16.6% 16.8% 14.9% 12.1% 9.8% 6.4% 3.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 17.5% 17.6% 15.6% 14.2% 12.2% 9.5% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
John Majernik 16.4% 15.7% 14.4% 13.4% 13.2% 11.2% 8.1% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 19.6% 17.1% 16.4% 14.1% 11.7% 9.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 5.2% 5.7% 7.1% 9.1% 9.7% 11.1% 12.8% 14.4% 11.9% 8.6% 3.8% 0.7%
Gavin Sanborn 7.8% 8.5% 10.5% 9.0% 10.7% 13.0% 13.6% 11.5% 8.0% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5%
Henry Parker 1.8% 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 5.5% 5.8% 8.8% 11.8% 15.8% 18.9% 16.9% 4.8%
John Cabell 6.1% 7.2% 6.7% 9.1% 9.3% 12.2% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 8.3% 4.2% 0.8%
Thomas Roeber 4.2% 4.3% 4.8% 5.0% 7.7% 8.3% 9.7% 15.2% 15.5% 14.4% 8.8% 2.1%
Austin Latimer 2.3% 2.8% 2.8% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 8.3% 11.5% 13.7% 19.2% 18.1% 7.6%
cole capizzo 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 3.9% 5.1% 6.6% 10.9% 16.9% 30.3% 18.0%
Ryan Kanter 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 4.5% 6.3% 15.4% 65.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.