Race 12B

neisa-women-reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Briana Provancha 10.9% 11.1% 11.5% 10.0% 10.4% 8.0% 7.7% 7.1% 6.7% 5.1% 4.3% 3.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily Billing 9.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.3% 8.0% 8.8% 6.6% 7.0% 7.7% 6.1% 6.5% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Chanel Miller 7.2% 6.0% 7.8% 6.5% 8.2% 7.1% 7.9% 8.9% 9.0% 7.1% 8.4% 4.5% 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Olivia Crane 7.0% 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 7.9% 8.2% 8.8% 8.4% 6.8% 6.9% 6.1% 5.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Elizabeth Whipple 9.4% 9.4% 8.0% 10.5% 8.6% 9.4% 8.5% 6.7% 6.4% 7.7% 5.7% 3.7% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Deirdre Lambert 14.8% 13.7% 13.7% 10.9% 10.4% 9.6% 6.2% 6.1% 3.2% 4.8% 2.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Mariel Marchand 7.4% 7.3% 5.6% 6.4% 8.2% 6.3% 8.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 6.5% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Annie Schmidt 4.8% 6.1% 5.9% 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 8.3% 7.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.6% 9.6% 8.2% 6.8% 3.3% 0.4%
Lauren Cefali 4.3% 4.3% 4.5% 5.4% 3.5% 6.5% 6.1% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 9.1% 9.9% 8.8% 8.6% 6.0% 1.3%
Chloe Lepert 5.6% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 5.8% 7.0% 5.3% 8.0% 10.3% 9.1% 7.5% 8.0% 6.7% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Morgan Russom 6.9% 6.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.7% 4.7% 8.0% 8.3% 8.2% 7.5% 7.0% 8.5% 7.4% 5.6% 3.4% 0.3%
Sky Adams 6.0% 5.1% 6.3% 7.1% 7.6% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 9.3% 5.6% 3.2% 0.5%
Heidi Hood 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 8.2% 12.7% 16.4% 17.0% 5.3%
Erica Lush 3.3% 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.1% 6.3% 8.5% 8.9% 12.1% 14.2% 8.2% 2.6%
Mary Clawson 1.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 4.1% 6.5% 13.7% 32.5% 26.1%
Sarah Pollick 0.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 3.5% 7.1% 17.6% 61.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.