Race 6B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 17.8% 15.6% 15.4% 14.2% 13.6% 9.8% 7.1% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 19.2% 16.9% 16.3% 13.7% 11.5% 9.0% 6.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 7.1% 9.4% 9.3% 10.8% 10.9% 12.3% 13.2% 10.5% 8.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.5%
John Majernik 13.6% 14.8% 14.2% 15.4% 13.4% 11.4% 7.9% 4.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucas Thress 19.8% 18.4% 15.8% 12.7% 12.3% 9.0% 6.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Roeber 4.2% 4.4% 5.0% 6.6% 7.1% 8.8% 10.8% 14.8% 13.6% 15.6% 7.2% 1.9%
John Cabell 5.9% 6.2% 7.2% 7.9% 8.8% 12.2% 13.7% 11.7% 12.8% 8.6% 4.3% 0.6%
Jasper Waldman 4.7% 6.7% 7.8% 8.8% 8.6% 11.4% 13.5% 13.8% 13.0% 7.7% 3.8% 0.4%
cole capizzo 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 4.2% 7.1% 9.2% 15.1% 32.6% 19.9%
Austin Latimer 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 6.0% 7.8% 10.8% 15.2% 19.3% 16.7% 7.0%
Henry Parker 3.3% 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 5.1% 5.7% 7.5% 12.1% 14.4% 18.0% 17.2% 7.0%
Ryan Kanter 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 4.0% 7.8% 15.8% 62.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.