Race 7B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Ehnot 19.8% 16.4% 15.4% 13.5% 11.3% 9.3% 7.1% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Roeber 4.5% 4.3% 5.3% 6.4% 6.6% 8.6% 9.7% 11.2% 15.7% 16.6% 8.8% 2.3%
Gavin Sanborn 7.8% 8.5% 9.8% 9.8% 10.5% 11.8% 11.6% 10.3% 9.8% 7.3% 2.5% 0.4%
James Owen 9.0% 9.6% 9.5% 11.7% 11.2% 10.9% 10.2% 10.7% 8.8% 6.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Jasper Waldman 6.6% 7.6% 6.9% 8.1% 9.4% 11.2% 11.8% 11.9% 11.9% 8.9% 4.9% 0.9%
Everett Botwinick 19.1% 17.5% 16.7% 13.3% 11.1% 9.5% 6.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Luu 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.4% 10.2% 10.5% 11.3% 11.9% 9.8% 7.6% 4.2% 0.4%
Andrew Tollefson 6.2% 7.6% 6.7% 8.6% 10.1% 8.1% 10.9% 13.8% 12.8% 9.5% 4.9% 0.9%
John Majernik 16.9% 16.4% 14.5% 12.4% 12.2% 10.3% 8.2% 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 5.0% 7.4% 9.2% 12.2% 20.0% 22.9% 7.5%
cole capizzo 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.4% 5.6% 8.6% 15.7% 34.6% 19.8%
Ryan Kanter 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 3.2% 6.0% 14.4% 67.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.