Race 8B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Everett Botwinick 19.8% 17.2% 13.9% 13.7% 10.9% 9.4% 7.8% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
John Majernik 17.8% 16.0% 15.4% 13.1% 11.8% 9.7% 8.5% 3.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 7.4% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 11.6% 11.3% 10.8% 12.2% 9.2% 6.1% 3.0% 0.2%
Lauren Ehnot 18.4% 17.7% 15.3% 14.6% 10.5% 9.0% 6.5% 4.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
James Owen 9.2% 10.0% 10.3% 10.7% 11.8% 10.7% 11.2% 9.2% 8.8% 5.5% 2.2% 0.1%
Jasper Waldman 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 8.8% 9.7% 10.5% 11.6% 12.6% 12.2% 10.2% 5.0% 0.9%
Andrew Tollefson 5.7% 7.3% 7.3% 7.9% 9.5% 10.5% 11.5% 12.6% 12.3% 9.7% 4.9% 0.8%
Benjamin Luu 6.8% 8.2% 9.8% 8.8% 8.7% 10.8% 10.5% 12.8% 10.3% 8.8% 3.9% 0.5%
Thomas Roeber 4.5% 4.4% 5.9% 5.1% 7.5% 8.1% 9.3% 11.6% 15.8% 14.9% 10.2% 2.5%
cole capizzo 1.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.8% 8.4% 15.7% 34.1% 19.5%
Austin Latimer 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.2% 7.1% 8.8% 12.0% 21.4% 20.4% 7.0%
Ryan Kanter 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 5.3% 15.8% 68.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.