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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+5.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+5.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+4.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.63vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.33+0.99vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48-0.78vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-0.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.49vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-5.75vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21-1.23vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.51-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.24-6.81vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-3.00vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-1.62vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.87Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.25Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.77Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.9Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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14.38Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.8Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 21.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 14.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Crane | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 6.1% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 31.8% | 23.9% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 16.9% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.