Race 9B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Owen 10.8% 9.5% 11.9% 12.6% 11.6% 12.7% 10.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Payne Donaldson 24.5% 20.8% 16.4% 13.5% 10.0% 6.6% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Pilar Cundey 16.9% 16.0% 14.8% 13.3% 10.4% 9.8% 9.4% 5.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 9.8% 11.3% 11.7% 12.3% 10.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 8.8% 9.8% 11.7% 10.5% 11.8% 10.8% 11.9% 11.1% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Jasper Waldman 6.7% 7.6% 8.2% 8.9% 10.8% 10.8% 10.3% 12.4% 12.8% 7.2% 3.7% 0.4%
John Cabell 6.7% 7.7% 7.3% 9.8% 11.5% 11.8% 13.1% 10.9% 10.1% 7.5% 3.2% 0.4%
Kaitlyn Scarcella 1.5% 2.5% 1.4% 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 4.5% 7.2% 10.2% 18.0% 28.1% 18.4%
cole capizzo 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 4.8% 7.2% 10.9% 20.9% 26.9% 15.2%
Ryan Kanter 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 4.5% 9.2% 16.9% 59.1%
Austin Latimer 3.5% 2.7% 4.2% 4.2% 5.0% 6.5% 7.9% 11.7% 16.0% 18.4% 14.5% 5.5%
Margaux Cowles 12.2% 12.2% 12.0% 11.5% 13.1% 11.1% 9.4% 7.8% 6.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.