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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.43+2.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.18+2.02vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.56+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania0.81-0.18vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.69-0.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.43-1.12vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.27-2.04vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.55-0.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.24-0.04vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-1.24-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Webb Institute1.4325.9%1st Place
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4.02Cornell University1.1816.4%1st Place
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5.95The Citadel0.336.6%1st Place
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5.31University of Vermont0.569.8%1st Place
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4.82University of Pennsylvania0.8110.9%1st Place
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5.13Fordham University0.699.8%1st Place
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5.88Boston University0.437.5%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University0.276.2%1st Place
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8.05Washington College-0.553.8%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.3%1st Place
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10.96University of South Carolina-2.240.4%1st Place
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9.4SUNY Maritime College-1.241.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payne Donaldson | 25.9% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pilar Cundey | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Andrew Tollefson | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
Gavin Sanborn | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Margaux Cowles | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
James Owen | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
John Cabell | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
Jasper Waldman | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
Austin Latimer | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 5.7% |
cole capizzo | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 26.7% | 16.1% |
Ryan Kanter | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 60.4% |
Kaitlyn Scarcella | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 19.1% | 29.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.