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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+3.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+5.22vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+4.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+1.86vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.33-0.56vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+0.62vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21+0.33vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-6.02vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-4.50vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.24-6.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97+0.01vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.71-6.36vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.36-0.83vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.20-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.44Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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10.33Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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4.98Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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14.01Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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15.17Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.42Middlebury College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 16.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Crane | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 17.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 27.6% | 36.5% |
| Sarah Pollick | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 12.9% | 28.0% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.