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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Payne Donaldson 25.9% 21.6% 15.9% 11.8% 9.7% 6.8% 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Pilar Cundey 16.4% 15.7% 15.1% 14.3% 11.6% 9.2% 8.3% 5.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Andrew Tollefson 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 9.4% 11.7% 10.6% 11.8% 12.7% 10.7% 7.0% 3.0% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 10.8% 10.9% 11.7% 12.7% 10.5% 7.5% 4.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Margaux Cowles 10.9% 12.4% 11.7% 12.6% 12.6% 10.9% 11.2% 8.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
James Owen 9.8% 10.1% 12.2% 11.8% 10.7% 12.6% 11.6% 8.3% 7.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.1%
John Cabell 7.5% 8.5% 8.6% 9.6% 9.9% 11.2% 10.8% 12.8% 10.6% 6.9% 3.2% 0.4%
Jasper Waldman 6.2% 7.6% 8.9% 9.6% 10.4% 11.8% 12.3% 12.0% 11.2% 6.4% 3.0% 0.5%
Austin Latimer 3.8% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.1% 10.1% 15.6% 19.2% 15.4% 5.7%
cole capizzo 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 4.2% 7.2% 11.8% 19.9% 26.7% 16.1%
Ryan Kanter 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 2.8% 4.7% 9.8% 16.3% 60.4%
Kaitlyn Scarcella 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.6% 2.8% 4.2% 3.7% 7.3% 10.1% 19.1% 29.0% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.