Race 11B

new-york-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Margaux Cowles 8.7% 10.8% 11.5% 12.2% 11.5% 12.5% 10.0% 9.1% 7.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Jasper Waldman 6.1% 6.7% 8.0% 7.5% 9.6% 10.2% 11.1% 12.9% 12.7% 9.7% 5.0% 0.7%
John Cabell 5.5% 6.8% 7.7% 8.7% 9.6% 10.8% 11.3% 12.2% 13.1% 9.8% 3.8% 0.8%
Pilar Cundey 14.6% 15.4% 12.8% 13.0% 12.4% 10.9% 9.0% 5.4% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 8.9% 9.8% 10.3% 13.5% 11.8% 11.2% 9.0% 4.7% 0.8%
Payne Donaldson 21.9% 18.6% 16.0% 13.6% 10.8% 7.9% 5.5% 3.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Thress 19.8% 18.9% 15.6% 13.7% 11.3% 8.2% 6.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 2.4% 2.4% 3.9% 3.5% 4.7% 5.1% 7.4% 8.7% 13.4% 22.7% 19.8% 6.0%
Gavin Sanborn 8.6% 8.0% 9.8% 9.6% 11.1% 11.6% 10.5% 12.2% 9.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Thomas Roeber 4.1% 4.5% 5.7% 7.0% 6.3% 9.2% 9.7% 13.4% 14.2% 15.3% 8.8% 1.9%
Oliver Browne 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.6% 4.9% 7.0% 13.2% 35.2% 26.5%
Ryan Kanter 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 3.8% 6.8% 17.8% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.