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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.10+1.49vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.40+1.27vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.51+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.58vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.81-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.74vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.89-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of New Hampshire0.1032.9%1st Place
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3.27Bates College-0.4019.4%1st Place
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5.23McGill University-1.514.9%1st Place
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3.42University of New Hampshire-0.3817.2%1st Place
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4.09McGill University-0.8110.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.425.2%1st Place
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4.23Amherst College-0.8910.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 32.9% | 25.1% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Frary | 19.4% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Alex Anderson | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 23.4% | 32.4% |
| Sean Lund | 17.2% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Pierre Offredi | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 9.8% |
| Andy Giaya | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 20.5% | 35.8% |
| James Knowlton | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.