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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.40+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.38+1.36vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.51+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.10-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.19vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.81-1.88vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.89-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Bates College-0.4018.1%1st Place
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3.36University of New Hampshire-0.3816.8%1st Place
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5.16McGill University-1.516.3%1st Place
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2.56University of New Hampshire0.1031.9%1st Place
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5.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.425.8%1st Place
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4.12McGill University-0.8110.8%1st Place
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4.23Amherst College-0.8910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 18.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Sean Lund | 16.8% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Alex Anderson | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 21.6% | 32.6% |
| Sam Harris | 31.9% | 24.6% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 33.6% |
| Pierre Offredi | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 11.1% |
| James Knowlton | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.