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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.40+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.10+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.44vs Predicted
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4McGill University-1.51+1.19vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.81-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.86vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.89-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Bates College-0.4017.0%1st Place
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2.53University of New Hampshire0.1031.1%1st Place
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3.44University of New Hampshire-0.3818.4%1st Place
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5.19McGill University-1.516.3%1st Place
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4.16McGill University-0.8110.8%1st Place
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5.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.426.4%1st Place
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4.19Amherst College-0.8910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 17.0% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Sam Harris | 31.1% | 26.4% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Sean Lund | 18.4% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Alex Anderson | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 33.8% |
| Pierre Offredi | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 11.3% |
| Andy Giaya | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 33.1% |
| James Knowlton | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.