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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.27-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.78University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.29University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 37.1% | 31.0% | 20.5% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 20.7% | 21.9% | 26.7% | 20.7% | 9.2% | 0.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 30.6% | 28.8% | 25.1% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.6% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 23.1% | 52.2% | 4.4% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.6% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 32.6% | 28.8% | 2.7% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 91.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.