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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.83+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.27+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57-2.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.27University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.85University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
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2.86University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 36.6% | 32.2% | 20.3% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 33.1% | 28.9% | 20.7% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 9.1% | 10.9% | 19.3% | 33.8% | 25.1% | 1.8% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 6.1% | 90.3% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 17.2% | 22.9% | 27.3% | 22.2% | 9.8% | 0.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.8% | 4.9% | 11.3% | 20.4% | 52.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.