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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.10+1.56vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.40+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.47vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.81+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.21vs Predicted
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6McGill University-1.51-0.89vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.89-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of New Hampshire0.1031.9%1st Place
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3.26Bates College-0.4019.4%1st Place
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3.47University of New Hampshire-0.3816.4%1st Place
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4.11McGill University-0.8111.4%1st Place
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5.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.424.8%1st Place
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5.11McGill University-1.516.1%1st Place
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4.27Amherst College-0.8910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 31.9% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Frary | 19.4% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Sean Lund | 16.4% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Pierre Offredi | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 11.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 33.8% |
| Alex Anderson | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 32.0% |
| James Knowlton | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.