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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.27-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.79University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.3University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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5.84University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 36.8% | 31.2% | 19.9% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 19.8% | 22.3% | 26.0% | 23.0% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 30.5% | 28.9% | 23.9% | 13.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.7% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 30.4% | 27.9% | 1.3% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 21.6% | 52.2% | 7.5% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 6.9% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.