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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.79vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.37+0.60vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.58-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39+0.38vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.14-0.94vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-2.68-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of New Hampshire-0.0024.0%1st Place
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2.6McGill University-0.3729.2%1st Place
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2.9Bates College-0.5822.1%1st Place
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3.52University of New Hampshire-0.9914.2%1st Place
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5.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.393.8%1st Place
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5.06McGill University-2.144.3%1st Place
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5.74Amherst College-2.682.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 24.0% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Colston Howell | 29.2% | 22.7% | 21.1% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 22.1% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Henry Poynter | 14.2% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Julian Bokulich | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 27.3% | 30.9% |
| Harry Boutemy | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 20.9% | 28.3% | 20.7% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 24.3% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.