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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.90vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.37+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.45vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.58-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39+0.33vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.14-0.92vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-2.68-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of New Hampshire-0.0022.2%1st Place
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2.59McGill University-0.3728.2%1st Place
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3.45University of New Hampshire-0.9914.8%1st Place
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2.88Bates College-0.5822.8%1st Place
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5.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.394.3%1st Place
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5.08McGill University-2.144.7%1st Place
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5.78Amherst College-2.683.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 22.2% | 21.1% | 22.6% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Colston Howell | 28.2% | 26.2% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Henry Poynter | 14.8% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 22.8% | 22.9% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Julian Bokulich | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 19.2% | 26.5% | 29.8% |
| Harry Boutemy | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 28.4% | 20.8% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 13.6% | 25.0% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.