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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.27-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.27University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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5.84University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 36.3% | 32.4% | 19.6% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 33.2% | 27.1% | 24.0% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 18.6% | 21.6% | 28.0% | 25.2% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.0% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 32.4% | 27.8% | 1.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 20.0% | 53.1% | 7.6% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 6.6% | 90.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.