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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+1.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.05vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.18+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.27-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.05Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.27University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 17.3% | 23.2% | 27.5% | 22.0% | 9.4% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Mace | 40.1% | 28.1% | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 30.5% | 31.2% | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 22.3% | 51.9% | 4.8% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.4% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 32.3% | 28.3% | 2.7% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 91.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.