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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.81vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.37+0.59vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.58-0.14vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.52vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.68+0.76vs Predicted
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6McGill University-2.14-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of New Hampshire-0.0023.3%1st Place
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2.59McGill University-0.3728.1%1st Place
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2.86Bates College-0.5822.1%1st Place
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3.48University of New Hampshire-0.9913.7%1st Place
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5.76Amherst College-2.682.6%1st Place
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5.06McGill University-2.146.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.394.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 23.3% | 22.2% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Colston Howell | 28.1% | 25.6% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 22.1% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Henry Poynter | 13.7% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 24.3% | 43.2% |
| Harry Boutemy | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 22.6% | 26.6% | 21.7% |
| Julian Bokulich | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 17.5% | 29.1% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.