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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.83vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.37+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.41vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.58-1.10vs Predicted
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5McGill University-2.14+0.10vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.68-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.39-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of New Hampshire-0.0021.9%1st Place
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2.6McGill University-0.3727.2%1st Place
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3.41University of New Hampshire-0.9916.0%1st Place
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2.9Bates College-0.5823.2%1st Place
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5.1McGill University-2.144.9%1st Place
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5.75Amherst College-2.682.6%1st Place
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5.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.394.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 21.9% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Colston Howell | 27.2% | 25.7% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Poynter | 16.0% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 23.2% | 21.8% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Harry Boutemy | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 22.4% | 27.8% | 21.9% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 44.0% |
| Julian Bokulich | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 17.7% | 29.1% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.