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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+1.46vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.96vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.42+1.83vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.55-0.75vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.51+0.04vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.74-0.62vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-0.74-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Wisconsin1.1433.0%1st Place
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2.96Michigan Technological University0.9622.1%1st Place
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4.83Lake Forest College-0.426.6%1st Place
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3.25Marquette University0.5518.9%1st Place
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5.04Purdue University-0.516.2%1st Place
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5.38Northwestern University-0.745.8%1st Place
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6.67Marquette University-1.602.5%1st Place
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5.41University of Illinois-0.745.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 33.0% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 22.1% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 8.1% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 18.9% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 10.3% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 14.9% |
| Peter Wall | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 49.8% |
| Logan Hoang | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 21.1% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.