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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.27+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.26University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.65University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.84University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 35.9% | 33.0% | 20.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 33.5% | 27.3% | 22.6% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 18.5% | 21.6% | 29.1% | 22.4% | 7.9% | 0.5% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.7% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 34.9% | 26.3% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 90.7% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.2% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 20.5% | 53.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.