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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.57-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.27+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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2.81University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.84University of California at San Diego-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.1% | 29.9% | 25.4% | 12.1% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 41.8% | 27.7% | 19.1% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 18.2% | 22.4% | 28.8% | 22.2% | 7.9% | 0.5% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 34.7% | 26.1% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Lyons | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 90.7% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 53.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.