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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+1.48vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.92vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.55+0.26vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42+0.75vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.60+1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.74-0.60vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.74-1.57vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.51-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Wisconsin1.1431.0%1st Place
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2.92Michigan Technological University0.9623.2%1st Place
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3.26Marquette University0.5518.7%1st Place
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4.75Lake Forest College-0.427.8%1st Place
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6.68Marquette University-1.602.5%1st Place
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5.4University of Illinois-0.745.5%1st Place
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5.43Northwestern University-0.744.9%1st Place
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5.08Purdue University-0.516.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 31.0% | 26.2% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.2% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 18.7% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Peter Wall | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 48.7% |
| Logan Hoang | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 16.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 22.7% | 13.9% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.