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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+1.42vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.42+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.74+2.40vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.55-0.74vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.96-2.09vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.51-0.98vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.74-1.50vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.60-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Wisconsin1.1433.8%1st Place
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4.79Lake Forest College-0.427.9%1st Place
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5.4University of Illinois-0.745.9%1st Place
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3.26Marquette University0.5518.4%1st Place
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2.91Michigan Technological University0.9622.4%1st Place
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5.02Purdue University-0.515.7%1st Place
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5.5Northwestern University-0.744.0%1st Place
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6.7Marquette University-1.601.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 33.8% | 26.7% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Logan Hoang | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 18.4% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 22.4% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 10.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Peter Wall | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.