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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+1.46vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.42+2.87vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.55+0.20vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96-1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.74+0.44vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.74-0.55vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51-1.99vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.60-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Wisconsin1.1432.6%1st Place
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4.87Lake Forest College-0.426.9%1st Place
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3.2Marquette University0.5519.8%1st Place
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2.91Michigan Technological University0.9622.4%1st Place
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5.44University of Illinois-0.744.1%1st Place
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5.45Northwestern University-0.745.0%1st Place
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5.01Purdue University-0.517.5%1st Place
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6.67Marquette University-1.601.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 32.6% | 25.4% | 20.1% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 8.7% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 19.8% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 22.4% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Logan Hoang | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 15.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 22.9% | 15.2% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 11.3% |
| Peter Wall | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.