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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.07+2.01vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23-0.21vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.44-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.83+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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1.79Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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2.54University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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5.74University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanne Nagatani | 14.8% | 20.7% | 27.8% | 23.9% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 50.8% | 27.3% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 22.0% | 31.4% | 23.1% | 18.3% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 21.0% | 48.6% | 8.8% |
| Aubrey Toole | 7.7% | 12.7% | 21.4% | 29.2% | 24.4% | 4.6% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 9.0% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.