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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.47vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.88vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.74+1.44vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.42-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.74-0.62vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.26vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.51-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Wisconsin1.1031.4%1st Place
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2.88Michigan Technological University0.9624.3%1st Place
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3.22Marquette University0.5518.8%1st Place
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5.44Northwestern University-0.745.1%1st Place
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4.86Lake Forest College-0.427.7%1st Place
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5.38University of Illinois-0.744.6%1st Place
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6.74Marquette University-1.602.1%1st Place
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5.01Purdue University-0.516.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 31.4% | 27.3% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 24.3% | 22.7% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 18.8% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 21.9% | 15.2% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 7.4% |
| Logan Hoang | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
| Peter Wall | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 51.6% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.