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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.44-0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.83+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.04+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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2.83University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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2.48University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Berkeley1.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 51.8% | 29.2% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 16.7% | 24.4% | 28.5% | 21.2% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 21.9% | 30.2% | 30.6% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 27.0% | 42.5% | 8.0% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 83.8% |
| Lauren Amery | 5.1% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 29.7% | 36.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.