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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.44+1.48vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23-0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.83+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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1.74Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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2.82University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Tarakjian | 22.5% | 31.1% | 28.3% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 52.6% | 26.9% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 16.0% | 25.0% | 28.5% | 22.8% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Nora Brackbill | 4.4% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 27.2% | 41.0% | 7.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.1% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 29.7% | 35.2% | 9.0% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 4.1% | 10.9% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.