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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.53vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.88vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.74+2.41vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.55-0.78vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.51-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.74-0.55vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.60-0.37vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.42-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin1.1030.9%1st Place
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2.88Michigan Technological University0.9624.8%1st Place
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5.41Northwestern University-0.745.2%1st Place
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3.22Marquette University0.5519.7%1st Place
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4.98Purdue University-0.516.8%1st Place
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5.45University of Illinois-0.744.4%1st Place
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6.63Marquette University-1.602.1%1st Place
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4.9Lake Forest College-0.426.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 30.9% | 25.2% | 19.6% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 24.8% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 15.3% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 19.7% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 9.4% |
| Logan Hoang | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 17.3% |
| Peter Wall | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 48.5% |
| Lucia Marquez | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.