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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.54vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.90vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.55+0.17vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.74+0.39vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.74-0.52vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51-2.02vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.60-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Wisconsin1.1031.6%1st Place
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2.9Michigan Technological University0.9623.8%1st Place
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3.17Marquette University0.5518.9%1st Place
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4.86Lake Forest College-0.427.8%1st Place
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5.39University of Illinois-0.745.1%1st Place
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5.48Northwestern University-0.744.8%1st Place
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4.98Purdue University-0.516.0%1st Place
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6.67Marquette University-1.601.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 31.6% | 24.8% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.8% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 18.9% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 8.5% |
| Logan Hoang | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 15.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 22.4% | 16.3% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 10.0% |
| Peter Wall | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.