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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.44+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.83+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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2.46University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 50.1% | 30.2% | 14.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 23.8% | 31.1% | 26.2% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 26.4% | 40.4% | 8.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 15.6% | 22.4% | 32.0% | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.7% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 28.6% | 36.4% | 8.6% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.