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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.57vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.90vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.55+0.13vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.60+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.74+0.44vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.42-1.08vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.74-1.63vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.51-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Wisconsin1.1029.4%1st Place
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2.9Michigan Technological University0.9623.5%1st Place
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3.13Marquette University0.5521.1%1st Place
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6.71Marquette University-1.601.9%1st Place
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5.44University of Illinois-0.744.8%1st Place
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4.92Lake Forest College-0.427.0%1st Place
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5.37Northwestern University-0.745.5%1st Place
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4.97Purdue University-0.516.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 29.4% | 25.7% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 23.5% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 21.1% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Peter Wall | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 51.7% |
| Logan Hoang | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 15.0% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 9.1% |
| Dexter Gormley | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 14.1% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.