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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.01+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.44-1.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.83-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.04-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Stanford University3.230.5%1st Place
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3.99University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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2.85University of Hawaii2.070.2%1st Place
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2.44University of Southern California2.440.2%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 51.0% | 30.7% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Amery | 4.8% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 31.8% | 33.1% | 6.5% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 16.3% | 22.3% | 31.1% | 21.5% | 8.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexis Tarakjian | 24.0% | 30.1% | 28.1% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Nora Brackbill | 3.4% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 23.9% | 42.8% | 10.9% |
| Maaike Boomgaard | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 4.6% | 11.2% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.