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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+1.34vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+0.75vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.09+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.74+1.26vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.74+0.41vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.42-1.25vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51-2.17vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.60-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Wisconsin1.1434.6%1st Place
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2.75Michigan Technological University0.9626.0%1st Place
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4.01Marquette University-0.0911.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Illinois-0.746.3%1st Place
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5.41Northwestern University-0.744.3%1st Place
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4.75Lake Forest College-0.428.1%1st Place
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4.83Purdue University-0.517.1%1st Place
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6.65Marquette University-1.602.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 34.6% | 28.3% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 26.0% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eli Erling | 11.2% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Logan Hoang | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 13.5% |
| Dexter Gormley | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 16.9% |
| Lucia Marquez | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 7.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 9.4% |
| Peter Wall | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.